Why President Museveni is Losing Sleep Over a Possible Raila Odinga Presidency In Kenya

The Kilindini Port in Mombasa

President Museveni invited Raila Odinga to Kampala last week seeking assurances from him that should he take power in August, his administration would maintain good neighborliness

By The Weekly Vision Online

Uganda’s long-ruling dictator Yoweri Museveni, like the rest of his compatriots in the landlocked country, is keenly following the unfolding fierce political battle for Mombasa County Governor’s office in the coming general elections, slated for August, sources in Kampala told The Weekly Vision.

Last week Mr Museveni invited Raila Odinga to Kampala seeking an assurance from him that his administration would maintain good neighborliness. 

Museveni invited Raila to Kampala last week for a chat

Mr Museveni has visited Mombasa on several occasions and is alive to the overriding importance of Kenya’s second-largest city to the economy of his country. Mombasa is home to about 4 million people and is famous for its port and tourist destinations.

 Many say it will no longer be business as usual and that Kenya under a Raila Odinga Presidency could apply some paralyzing economic moves using the port to enforce a regime change in Kampala

 Museveni is alive to the possibility of his ally, Deputy President William Ruto failing in his effort to succeed President Uhuru Kenyatta as president. Museveni is losing sleep over a possible Raila Odinga presidency, a bitter critic of the NRM autocratic regime and a bosom buddy of Ugandan’s opposition. Mombasa remains Uganda’s traditional export-import lifeline as Kenya is also Kampala’s largest trading partner. Museveni would consider it a double blow if Raila won the presidency in Nairobi while his man Abdulswamad Nassir becomes the next governor of Mombasa.  

 Many say it will no longer be business as usual and that Kenya under a Raila Odinga Presidency could apply some paralyzing economic moves using the port to enforce a regime change in Kampala. Mr Odinga laughed off alleged attempts by Museveni to hand State Power to his son in 2026, saying it was a pipe dream in the 21st century!

Raila Odinga has reportedly told the donor community that the “democratic circus” in Kampala where elections are blatantly rigged and the army used to bully the opposition, is unacceptable and “has to be stopped”. While appreciating the fact that Kampala is Kenya’s largest trading partner, he says Kenyans cannot just sit and do nothing while a neighbour’s house is on fire!

Odinga’s position is shared by the US administration under President Joe Biden. According to the US Special Envoy on climate change John Kerry, America is keen to see a peaceful transition in Kampala. It would be it’s first-ever since independence from Britain in 1963.

 The battle for the governor’s post in Mombasa was turning into a two-horse race between former Nairobi governor Mike Mbuvi Sonko and Raila’s man Abdulswamad Nassir until The High Court in Mombasa temporarily barred the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) from clearing Sonko to contest. 

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