One of Paul Otwoma’s men told The Weekly Vision Online that the move by Hon. Mogoria was an unexpected development that forced them to go back to the drawing board to craft a new strategy
The entry of Hon. Dan Mogoria in the battle for the Busia County gubernatorial seat has sent reverberating shockwaves within the campaign camps of his main competitors. The competitors had earlier breathed with relief when he was denied the nomination certificate by DAP-K.
However, reports that he had finally secured the nomination certificate from a different political party, the National Agenda Party of Kenya (NAP-K), sent political shockwaves within his rival campaign teams. One of Paul Otwoma’s men told The Weekly Vision Online that the move by Hon. Mogoria was an unexpected development that forced them to go back to the drawing board to craft a fresh strategy. Another of the hardest hit by this development is outgoing Nambale constituency legislator John Sakwa Bunyasi of the Amani National Congress (ANC) and outgoing Deputy Governor Moses Mulomi.
Hon. Mogoria is the only candidate from the populous Teso community which has a tradition of voting as a bloc, unlike their Luhyia counterparts who are known for casting their votes in fragmented patterns. Worse still, the community is fielding Paul Otuoma from Funyula’s Samia community with the second least number of registered voters in the county followed by Hon. Sakwa Bunyasi from the Bakhayo community of Nambale and Matayos constituencies, though with a sizeable number of registered voters.
The other challenge facing Paul Otwoma’s candidature is the fact that he and the sitting Funyula constituency legislator come from the same village in Samia South with a very low number of registered voters, crowned by the historical never-ending Samia South/ North political rivalry
Moses Mulomi from Marachi in Butula constituency is perhaps the worst hit by Hon. Mogoria’s move because his influence in marshalling his people to cast the ballot in his favour is limited to pockets within the constituency since he has little influence in the rest of the county. The other spectre he faces is the fact that the DAP-K party is officially allied to Azimio la Umoja with a pact within the alliance that individual parties should not field candidates in areas where affiliate parties are deemed to be stronger.
In effect, Mr Mulomi would be contesting against ODM’s candidate Paul Otuoma, whereas in counties like Bungoma and Trans Nzoia, perceived DAP-K strongholds ODM party is not fielding candidates, therefore chances that DAP-K could be prevailed upon to recall Mr Mulomi’s nomination certificate are high.
The other challenge facing Paul Otwoma’s candidature is the fact that he and the sitting Funyula constituency legislator come from the same village in Samia South with a very low number of registered voters, crowned by the historical never-ending Samia South/ North political rivalry, Mr Otuoma is not a very popular figure in parts of Funyula constituency anyway. Overall with their fractured voting pattern, the candidates from the Luhyia community will be battling for a limited number of votes when the day of reckoning arrives.
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