Ruto’s steady drop in areas like central Kenya from a projected 75 pc, to 58, 54 and now 42, is attributed to ferocious campaigns launched by Mr Odinga
Deputy President William Ruto would win the presidential contest against his main opponent Raila Odinga by a razor-thin margin if elections were held today, according to a recent opinion poll by Ipsos Synovate and Infotrak.
DP Ruto would however fall short of the 50+1 percentage point to win the presidency outright, setting the stage for an explosive face-off with ODM’s Raila Odinga in a runoff. The opinion shows DP Ruto leading with a mean average of 42 per cent nationwide. His closest challenger former prime minister Raila Odinga is at 33 per cent.
The results have sent alarm bells ringing in DP Ruto’s corner with his strategists who are yet to place any campaign commercials on TV. His main rival Raila Odinga is already enjoying prime time campaign commercials on Citizen TV. Ruto is yet to embark on aggressive media campaigns.
Raila enjoys support from Citizen media mogul S.K. Macharia who is on recording claiming to have voted for Raila in each presidential election since 2007. With only 7 months to the poll, former prime minister’s strategists say they are happy with opinion results. They say the gap is closing between the two front-runners daily.
The results paint a bleak picture for the One Kenya Alliance (OKA) political outfit who are yet to name its presidential flag-bearer, the poll puts OKA at a paltry 11 per cent. The poll even predicated that ANC leader Musalia Mudavadi aka Macharia would be OKA’s flag-bearer!
Raila Odinga enjoys support from Citizen Media mogul S.K. Macharia who is on recording claiming to have voted for Raila in each of the past presidential elections since 2007
Ruto’s steady drop in areas like central Kenya from a projected 75 pc, to 58, 54 and now 42, is attributed to ferocious campaigns launched by Mr Odinga. The pollsters have warned DP’s Ruto’s team that failing to garner 50 +1 per cent in the first round could prove devastating! They say if that happened then OKA co-principals could close ranks and back Mr Odinga in a re-run. OKA could galvanise supporters in the coast, western, eastern, and parts of northeastern to back the former prime minister. This would cut the ground from under the feet of DP Ruto!
The results which initially showed Raila trailing Ruto in most regions including central Kenya, now indicate a possibility of a close neck to neck contest by August 2022. Ruto without the support of the “system” and his retiring boss President Uhuru Kenyatta could be looking at insurmountable odds.
Mr Odinga on the other hand as a “government project” would have the ground working in his favour in a closely contested tie with the DP. The pollsters predict Ruto’s best chance would be winning in the first round and avoiding a re-run. The DP has been on the campaign trail for the last four and half years.
Political watchers say it is disappointing that in all that time and millions of shillings down the drain, Ruto can only manage 42 per cent 7 months to the general election. DP strategists now plan a ferocious counteroffensive in the vote-rich Mount Kenya, a region that has produced three of Kenya’s four presidents in 60 years of independence from colonial Britain. Raila is currently on a whirlwind of whistle-stop campaigns in the north rift, Transnzoia and parts of western which twice in 2013-2017 gave him over 70 per cent of presidential votes.
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